Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.001749 0.001937 0.002127 0.002332 0.002546 0.002763 0.003000
2024-12-22 0.001442 0.001712 0.001993 0.002305 0.002640 0.002987 0.003373
2024-12-29 0.001238 0.001572 0.001930 0.002337 0.002784 0.003256 0.003788
2025-01-05 0.001075 0.001460 0.001884 0.002378 0.002931 0.003524 0.004202
2025-01-12 0.000948 0.001375 0.001859 0.002436 0.003091 0.003803 0.004627
2025-01-19 0.000776 0.001222 0.001745 0.002382 0.003120 0.003933 0.004884
2025-01-26 0.000653 0.001115 0.001675 0.002373 0.003194 0.004109 0.005189
2025-02-02 0.000546 0.001018 0.001609 0.002361 0.003259 0.004272 0.005478
2025-02-09 0.000503 0.001000 0.001637 0.002460 0.003453 0.004580 0.005929
2025-02-16 0.000428 0.000930 0.001595 0.002469 0.003537 0.004760 0.006233
2025-02-23 0.000331 0.000816 0.001487 0.002391 0.003512 0.004810 0.006386
2025-03-02 0.000260 0.000732 0.001412 0.002349 0.003528 0.004904 0.006587
2025-03-09 0.000199 0.000666 0.001376 0.002379 0.003661 0.005174 0.007035
2025-03-16 0.000134 0.000579 0.001304 0.002362 0.003736 0.005377 0.007413
2025-03-23 0.000094 0.000525 0.001276 0.002400 0.003883 0.005668 0.007896
2025-03-30 0.000062 0.000479 0.001255 0.002446 0.004039 0.005972 0.008398
2025-04-06 0.000040 0.000443 0.001246 0.002508 0.004214 0.006299 0.008930
2025-04-13 0.000014 0.000366 0.001161 0.002455 0.004238 0.006441 0.009240
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000314 0.001109 0.002447 0.004319 0.006651 0.009629
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000266 0.001058 0.002436 0.004393 0.006850 0.010006
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000258 0.001082 0.002538 0.004617 0.007237 0.010610
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000223 0.001048 0.002547 0.004715 0.007466 0.011020
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000169 0.000960 0.002468 0.004689 0.007536 0.011237